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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 8 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

72%

SC Braga

1.39

16%

Draw

6.14

12%

Rio Ave

8.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

3 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.53

SC Braga xG

Total xG

3.46

0.94

Rio Ave xG

72%
16%
12%
SC BragaDrawRio Ave

1.39

72%

Home win

6.14

16%

Draw

8.42

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

39%

SC Braga

2.55

8%

Rio Ave

12.52

Win to Nil

28%

SC Braga

3.55

1%

Rio Ave

105.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 7.9 7.4 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 10.0 9.4 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.4 7.9 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 5.3 5.0 2.3 0.7 0.2
5 2.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.527
λ Away (xG) 0.937
Total xG 3.464
League avg home goals 1.538
League avg away goals 1.250
SC Braga attack strength 1.324
SC Braga defence strength 0.834
Rio Ave attack strength 0.899
Rio Ave defence strength 1.241
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54