Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

57%

SC Braga

1.75

24%

Draw

4.15

19%

Nacional

5.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.77

0.95

Nacional xG

57%
24%
19%
SC BragaDrawNacional

1.75

57%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

5.35

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

39%

SC Braga

2.58

16%

Nacional

6.17

Win to Nil

22%

SC Braga

4.51

3%

Nacional

32.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 6.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 11.4 10.8 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 6.3 6.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.9 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.819
λ Away (xG) 0.948
Total xG 2.767
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 1.185
SC Braga attack strength 1.258
SC Braga defence strength 1.041
Nacional attack strength 0.768
Nacional defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 22