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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

40%

SC Braga

2.52

26%

Draw

3.91

35%

FC Porto

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.74

1.32

FC Porto xG

40%
26%
35%
SC BragaDrawFC Porto

2.52

40%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

27%

SC Braga

3.74

24%

FC Porto

4.15

Win to Nil

11%

SC Braga

9.43

8%

FC Porto

11.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.5 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.2 12.1 8.0 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.6 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.423
λ Away (xG) 1.318
Total xG 2.741
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.156
SC Braga attack strength 1.415
SC Braga defence strength 0.929
FC Porto attack strength 1.227
FC Porto defence strength 0.681
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 60