Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

41%

SC Braga

2.46

26%

Draw

3.87

34%

FC Porto

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.86

1.35

FC Porto xG

41%
26%
34%
SC BragaDrawFC Porto

2.46

41%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

26%

SC Braga

3.86

22%

FC Porto

4.51

Win to Nil

11%

SC Braga

9.50

7%

FC Porto

13.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.8 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.7 11.7 7.9 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.8 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 4.4 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.507
λ Away (xG) 1.350
Total xG 2.857
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.120
SC Braga attack strength 1.191
SC Braga defence strength 1.000
FC Porto attack strength 1.206
FC Porto defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58