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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

38%

SC Braga

2.61

32%

Draw

3.12

30%

Casa Pia

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.43

1.12

Casa Pia xG

38%
32%
30%
SC BragaDrawCasa Pia

2.61

38%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

32%

SC Braga

3.08

27%

Casa Pia

3.69

Win to Nil

12%

SC Braga

8.04

8%

Casa Pia

12.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.5 12.9 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.5 8.4 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.3 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.306
λ Away (xG) 1.125
Total xG 2.431
League avg home goals 1.321
League avg away goals 1.222
SC Braga attack strength 0.954
SC Braga defence strength 0.956
Casa Pia attack strength 0.962
Casa Pia defence strength 1.036
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42