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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

41%

SC Braga

2.45

24%

Draw

4.19

35%

Casa Pia

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

SC Braga xG

Total xG

3.13

1.50

Casa Pia xG

41%
24%
35%
SC BragaDrawCasa Pia

2.45

41%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

22%

SC Braga

4.49

20%

Casa Pia

5.10

Win to Nil

9%

SC Braga

11.01

7%

Casa Pia

14.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.6 4.9 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.1 10.7 8.0 4.0 1.5 0.5
2 5.8 8.7 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.1 4.7 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.629
λ Away (xG) 1.502
Total xG 3.131
League avg home goals 1.387
League avg away goals 1.117
SC Braga attack strength 1.301
SC Braga defence strength 1.325
Casa Pia attack strength 1.015
Casa Pia defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49