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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

62%

SC Braga

1.63

22%

Draw

4.64

17%

Alverca

5.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.83

0.90

Alverca xG

62%
22%
17%
SC BragaDrawAlverca

1.63

62%

Home win

4.64

22%

Draw

5.91

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

41%

SC Braga

2.45

15%

Alverca

6.88

Win to Nil

25%

SC Braga

3.99

2%

Alverca

40.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 5.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.4 10.3 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.1 6.4 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 3.4 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.928
λ Away (xG) 0.897
Total xG 2.825
League avg home goals 1.481
League avg away goals 1.256
SC Braga attack strength 1.115
SC Braga defence strength 0.874
Alverca attack strength 0.817
Alverca defence strength 1.168
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 18