Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

19%

Santa Clara

5.37

23%

Draw

4.33

58%

Sporting CP

1.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

0 – 2

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.67

1.78

Sporting CP xG

19%
23%
58%
Santa ClaraDrawSporting CP

5.37

19%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

1.72

58%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

17%

Santa Clara

5.92

41%

Sporting CP

2.45

Win to Nil

3%

Santa Clara

31.80

24%

Sporting CP

4.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 12.3 10.9 6.5 2.9 1.0
1 6.2 11.0 9.8 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 2.8 4.9 4.4 2.6 1.2 0.4
3 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.895
λ Away (xG) 1.779
Total xG 2.674
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.183
Santa Clara attack strength 0.776
Santa Clara defence strength 0.941
Sporting CP attack strength 1.598
Sporting CP defence strength 0.890
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 62