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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

17:00

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

30%

Santa Clara

3.28

31%

Draw

3.21

38%

SC Braga

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

1.96

1.05

SC Braga xG

30%
31%
38%
Santa ClaraDrawSC Braga

3.28

30%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

35%

Santa Clara

2.87

40%

SC Braga

2.47

Win to Nil

11%

Santa Clara

9.41

16%

SC Braga

6.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 14.9 7.8 2.8 0.7 0.2
1 12.8 13.4 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 5.8 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.905
λ Away (xG) 1.054
Total xG 1.959
League avg home goals 1.385
League avg away goals 1.121
Santa Clara attack strength 0.819
Santa Clara defence strength 0.846
SC Braga attack strength 1.112
SC Braga defence strength 0.798
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 48