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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

16%

Santa Clara

6.31

30%

Draw

3.31

54%

FC Porto

1.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

19.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.3%

Draw

0 – 2

13.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.58

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

1.88

1.30

FC Porto xG

16%
30%
54%
Santa ClaraDrawFC Porto

6.31

16%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

1.85

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.08

68%

BTTS No

1.48

Clean Sheet

27%

Santa Clara

3.68

56%

FC Porto

1.78

Win to Nil

4%

Santa Clara

23.21

30%

FC Porto

3.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.3 19.9 13.0 5.6 1.8 0.5
1 8.8 11.5 7.5 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 2.5 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.576
λ Away (xG) 1.303
Total xG 1.879
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 1.277
Santa Clara attack strength 0.701
Santa Clara defence strength 0.758
FC Porto attack strength 1.347
FC Porto defence strength 0.569
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 50