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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

42%

Santa Clara

2.41

28%

Draw

3.54

30%

Famalicao

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.28

1.03

Famalicao xG

42%
28%
30%
Santa ClaraDrawFamalicao

2.41

42%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

36%

Santa Clara

2.79

29%

Famalicao

3.51

Win to Nil

15%

Santa Clara

6.73

9%

Famalicao

11.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 10.5 5.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 13.2 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.0 8.3 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.255
λ Away (xG) 1.027
Total xG 2.282
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.199
Santa Clara attack strength 0.804
Santa Clara defence strength 0.814
Famalicao attack strength 1.052
Famalicao defence strength 1.216
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 66