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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 31 Jan 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

29%

Santa Clara

3.39

28%

Draw

3.60

43%

Estoril

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.34

1.31

Estoril xG

29%
28%
43%
Santa ClaraDrawEstoril

3.39

29%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

27%

Santa Clara

3.70

36%

Estoril

2.82

Win to Nil

8%

Santa Clara

12.54

15%

Estoril

6.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 12.6 8.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 9.9 13.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.1 6.7 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.035
λ Away (xG) 1.307
Total xG 2.342
League avg home goals 1.531
League avg away goals 1.227
Santa Clara attack strength 0.628
Santa Clara defence strength 0.806
Estoril attack strength 1.322
Estoril defence strength 1.076
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53