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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
31%
3.27
29%
3.45
40%
2.47
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.3%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
0 – 0
11.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.00
Santa Clara xG
Total xG
2.19
1.20
Arouca xG
Santa ClaraDrawArouca
3.27
31%
Home win
3.45
29%
Draw
2.47
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.27
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
30%
3.31
37%
2.72
Win to Nil
9%
10.82
15%
6.71
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.999
λ Away (xG)
1.196
Total xG
2.195
League avg home goals
1.234
League avg away goals
1.216
Santa Clara attack strength
0.735
Santa Clara defence strength
0.885
Arouca attack strength
1.112
Arouca defence strength
1.101
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
30 / 64