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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

44%

Rio Ave

2.25

27%

Draw

3.73

29%

Nacional

3.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.46

1.06

Nacional xG

44%
27%
29%
Rio AveDrawNacional

2.25

44%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

3.48

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

34%

Rio Ave

2.90

25%

Nacional

4.03

Win to Nil

15%

Rio Ave

6.53

7%

Nacional

14.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 9.1 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.9 12.7 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.8 4.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 3.9 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.393
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 2.458
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.161
Rio Ave attack strength 1.013
Rio Ave defence strength 1.047
Nacional attack strength 0.876
Nacional defence strength 1.003
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 34 / 35