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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Mon 16 Dec 2024

20:45

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

41%

Rio Ave

2.44

28%

Draw

3.60

31%

Guimaraes

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.36

1.08

Guimaraes xG

41%
28%
31%
Rio AveDrawGuimaraes

2.44

41%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

34%

Rio Ave

2.94

28%

Guimaraes

3.60

Win to Nil

14%

Rio Ave

7.18

9%

Guimaraes

11.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.2 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.1 13.1 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.7 8.4 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.3 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.280
λ Away (xG) 1.080
Total xG 2.360
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.083
Rio Ave attack strength 1.131
Rio Ave defence strength 1.122
Guimaraes attack strength 0.888
Guimaraes defence strength 0.806
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47