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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Mon 3 Feb 2025

20:45

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

36%

Rio Ave

2.80

24%

Draw

4.17

40%

FC Porto

2.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

3.23

1.67

FC Porto xG

36%
24%
40%
Rio AveDrawFC Porto

2.80

36%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

2.48

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.82

Clean Sheet

19%

Rio Ave

5.32

21%

FC Porto

4.77

Win to Nil

7%

Rio Ave

14.91

8%

FC Porto

11.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 6.6 5.5 3.1 1.3 0.4
1 6.2 10.3 8.6 4.8 2.0 0.7
2 4.8 8.0 6.7 3.7 1.6 0.5
3 2.5 4.2 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3
4 1.0 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 1.672
Total xG 3.234
League avg home goals 1.421
League avg away goals 1.177
Rio Ave attack strength 1.036
Rio Ave defence strength 1.185
FC Porto attack strength 1.199
FC Porto defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53