Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 5 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

43%

Rio Ave

2.30

29%

Draw

3.44

28%

Estrela

3.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.15

0.92

Estrela xG

43%
29%
28%
Rio AveDrawEstrela

2.30

43%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

3.63

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

40%

Rio Ave

2.50

29%

Estrela

3.42

Win to Nil

17%

Rio Ave

5.76

8%

Estrela

12.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 10.7 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.4 13.2 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.8 8.1 3.7 1.1 0.3
3 3.6 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.230
λ Away (xG) 0.916
Total xG 2.146
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.199
Rio Ave attack strength 1.033
Rio Ave defence strength 1.229
Estrela attack strength 0.621
Estrela defence strength 0.932
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65