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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sporting CP Win
19%
5.25
23%
4.39
58%
1.72
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
11.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
10.8%
Draw
0 – 2
10.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.93
Nacional xG
Total xG
2.75
1.82
Sporting CP xG
NacionalDrawSporting CP
5.25
19%
Home win
4.39
23%
Draw
1.72
58%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.97
49%
BTTS No
2.03
Clean Sheet
16%
6.16
39%
2.54
Win to Nil
3%
32.35
23%
4.37
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 11.6 | 10.5 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 10.8 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 2.8 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.934
λ Away (xG)
1.818
Total xG
2.752
League avg home goals
1.368
League avg away goals
1.174
Nacional attack strength
0.889
Nacional defence strength
1.190
Sporting CP attack strength
1.301
Sporting CP defence strength
0.768
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
36 / 36