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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio da Madeira

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nacional Win

61%

Nacional

1.64

23%

Draw

4.36

16%

AVS

6.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Nacional xG

Total xG

2.55

0.78

AVS xG

61%
23%
16%
NacionalDrawAVS

1.64

61%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

6.22

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

46%

Nacional

2.18

17%

AVS

5.86

Win to Nil

28%

Nacional

3.57

3%

AVS

36.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 6.1 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.8 10.8 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 12.2 9.5 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 7.2 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.2 2.5 1.0 0.3
5 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.768
λ Away (xG) 0.779
Total xG 2.547
League avg home goals 1.465
League avg away goals 1.133
Nacional attack strength 0.906
Nacional defence strength 0.910
AVS attack strength 0.755
AVS defence strength 1.331
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65