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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio da Madeira

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nacional Win

44%

Nacional

2.29

33%

Draw

3.05

23%

AVS

4.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Nacional xG

Total xG

1.89

0.76

AVS xG

44%
33%
23%
NacionalDrawAVS

2.29

44%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

4.26

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.72

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

47%

Nacional

2.13

32%

AVS

3.12

Win to Nil

21%

Nacional

4.86

8%

AVS

13.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.1 11.4 4.3 1.1 0.2
1 17.1 12.9 4.9 1.2 0.2
2 9.7 7.4 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 3.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.137
λ Away (xG) 0.755
Total xG 1.892
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.209
Nacional attack strength 0.804
Nacional defence strength 0.903
AVS attack strength 0.691
AVS defence strength 1.017
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 17