Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Mon 3 Feb 2025

18:45

Venue

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

21%

Moreirense

4.82

30%

Draw

3.35

49%

SC Braga

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.73

Moreirense xG

Total xG

2.03

1.29

SC Braga xG

21%
30%
49%
MoreirenseDrawSC Braga

4.82

21%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

2.02

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.62

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

27%

Moreirense

3.65

48%

SC Braga

2.09

Win to Nil

6%

Moreirense

17.60

24%

SC Braga

4.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 17.0 11.0 4.8 1.5 0.4
1 9.7 12.5 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 3.5 4.6 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.735
λ Away (xG) 1.295
Total xG 2.030
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.170
Moreirense attack strength 0.826
Moreirense defence strength 0.954
SC Braga attack strength 1.161
SC Braga defence strength 0.627
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53