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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

15:30

Venue

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

40%

Moreirense

2.52

25%

Draw

3.94

35%

Santa Clara

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Moreirense xG

Total xG

2.77

1.33

Santa Clara xG

40%
25%
35%
MoreirenseDrawSanta Clara

2.52

40%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

26%

Moreirense

3.79

24%

Santa Clara

4.22

Win to Nil

10%

Moreirense

9.54

8%

Santa Clara

12.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.3 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.0 12.0 8.0 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.6 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.1 4.1 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.439
λ Away (xG) 1.332
Total xG 2.771
League avg home goals 1.408
League avg away goals 1.303
Moreirense attack strength 1.007
Moreirense defence strength 1.117
Santa Clara attack strength 0.915
Santa Clara defence strength 1.015
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52