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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 13 Dec 2026

16:00

Venue

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

37%

Moreirense

2.69

29%

Draw

3.40

33%

Famalicao

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Moreirense xG

Total xG

2.17

1.05

Famalicao xG

37%
29%
33%
MoreirenseDrawFamalicao

2.69

37%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

35%

Moreirense

2.85

33%

Famalicao

3.07

Win to Nil

13%

Moreirense

7.64

11%

Famalicao

9.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 12.0 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.8 13.4 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.2 7.5 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.7 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.121
λ Away (xG) 1.046
Total xG 2.167
League avg home goals 1.509
League avg away goals 1.127
Moreirense attack strength 0.848
Moreirense defence strength 0.989
Famalicao attack strength 0.938
Famalicao defence strength 0.876
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34