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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

15:30

Venue

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

39%

Moreirense

2.53

32%

Draw

3.17

29%

Famalicao

3.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Moreirense xG

Total xG

2.28

1.03

Famalicao xG

39%
32%
29%
MoreirenseDrawFamalicao

2.53

39%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

3.44

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

36%

Moreirense

2.81

29%

Famalicao

3.47

Win to Nil

14%

Moreirense

7.12

8%

Famalicao

11.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 10.6 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 13.2 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.9 8.2 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.3 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.243
λ Away (xG) 1.033
Total xG 2.276
League avg home goals 1.348
League avg away goals 1.308
Moreirense attack strength 1.158
Moreirense defence strength 0.949
Famalicao attack strength 0.833
Famalicao defence strength 0.797
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45