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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Mon 20 Apr 2026

20:15

Venue

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

31%

Moreirense

3.24

25%

Draw

3.97

44%

Estoril

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Moreirense xG

Total xG

2.77

1.53

Estoril xG

31%
25%
44%
MoreirenseDrawEstoril

3.24

31%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

22%

Moreirense

4.60

29%

Estoril

3.45

Win to Nil

7%

Moreirense

14.90

13%

Estoril

7.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.6 7.3 3.7 1.4 0.4
1 7.8 11.9 9.1 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 4.8 7.4 5.6 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.0 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.239
λ Away (xG) 1.526
Total xG 2.765
League avg home goals 1.468
League avg away goals 1.150
Moreirense attack strength 0.696
Moreirense defence strength 1.089
Estoril attack strength 1.219
Estoril defence strength 1.212
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63