🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Moreirense Win
52%
1.93
27%
3.66
21%
4.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
0 – 0
11.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.41
Moreirense xG
Total xG
2.20
0.79
AVS xG
MoreirenseDrawAVS
1.93
52%
Home win
3.66
27%
Draw
4.76
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.43
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
45%
2.20
24%
4.09
Win to Nil
24%
4.26
5%
19.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 15.7 | 12.3 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.0 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.409
λ Away (xG)
0.788
Total xG
2.197
League avg home goals
1.402
League avg away goals
1.144
Moreirense attack strength
0.967
Moreirense defence strength
1.007
AVS attack strength
0.684
AVS defence strength
1.039
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 16