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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

33%

Guimaraes

3.01

25%

Draw

3.97

42%

SC Braga

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

2.79

1.49

SC Braga xG

33%
25%
42%
GuimaraesDrawSC Braga

3.01

33%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.41

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

23%

Guimaraes

4.43

27%

SC Braga

3.68

Win to Nil

8%

Guimaraes

13.33

11%

SC Braga

8.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 9.1 6.8 3.4 1.3 0.4
1 8.0 11.9 8.8 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.2 7.8 5.8 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.3 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.304
λ Away (xG) 1.488
Total xG 2.792
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.280
Guimaraes attack strength 1.091
Guimaraes defence strength 0.997
SC Braga attack strength 1.166
SC Braga defence strength 0.922
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39