🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Guimaraes Win
60%
1.68
20%
4.97
20%
4.91
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
7.8%
Draw
3 – 1
7.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.37
Guimaraes xG
Total xG
3.72
1.35
Arouca xG
GuimaraesDrawArouca
1.68
60%
Home win
4.97
20%
Draw
4.91
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
72%
Over 2.5
1.39
28%
Under 2.5
3.57
51%
Over 3.5
1.96
49%
Under 3.5
2.04
32%
Over 4.5
3.12
68%
Under 4.5
1.47
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.48
32%
BTTS No
3.09
Clean Sheet
26%
3.86
9%
10.67
Win to Nil
15%
6.49
2%
52.38
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 9.2 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 5.4 | 7.3 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.367
λ Away (xG)
1.351
Total xG
3.718
League avg home goals
1.393
League avg away goals
1.203
Guimaraes attack strength
1.326
Guimaraes defence strength
1.172
Arouca attack strength
0.959
Arouca defence strength
1.281
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
51 / 51