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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

39%

GIL Vicente

2.60

30%

Draw

3.34

32%

Rio Ave

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.09

0.98

Rio Ave xG

39%
30%
32%
GIL VicenteDrawRio Ave

2.60

39%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

38%

GIL Vicente

2.65

33%

Rio Ave

3.04

Win to Nil

15%

GIL Vicente

6.89

10%

Rio Ave

9.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 12.1 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 13.8 13.4 6.6 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.7 7.5 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.113
λ Away (xG) 0.976
Total xG 2.089
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.245
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.822
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.771
Rio Ave attack strength 1.018
Rio Ave defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48