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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 6 Jan 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

58%

GIL Vicente

1.72

27%

Draw

3.75

15%

Rio Ave

6.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.19

0.65

Rio Ave xG

58%
27%
15%
GIL VicenteDrawRio Ave

1.72

58%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

6.64

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.62

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

52%

GIL Vicente

1.92

21%

Rio Ave

4.66

Win to Nil

30%

GIL Vicente

3.29

3%

Rio Ave

30.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 7.3 2.4 0.5 0.1
1 17.2 11.2 3.6 0.8 0.1
2 13.3 8.6 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 6.8 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.540
λ Away (xG) 0.651
Total xG 2.191
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.201
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.969
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.829
Rio Ave attack strength 0.654
Rio Ave defence strength 1.154
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50