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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

44%

GIL Vicente

2.28

29%

Draw

3.42

27%

Nacional

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.12

0.89

Nacional xG

44%
29%
27%
GIL VicenteDrawNacional

2.28

44%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

41%

GIL Vicente

2.44

29%

Nacional

3.40

Win to Nil

18%

GIL Vicente

5.55

8%

Nacional

12.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 10.7 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.8 13.2 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.1 8.1 3.6 1.1 0.2
3 3.7 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.225
λ Away (xG) 0.890
Total xG 2.115
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.261
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.895
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.832
Nacional attack strength 0.848
Nacional defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51