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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

26%

GIL Vicente

3.79

28%

Draw

3.58

46%

Moreirense

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.26

1.32

Moreirense xG

26%
28%
46%
GIL VicenteDrawMoreirense

3.79

26%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

27%

GIL Vicente

3.76

39%

Moreirense

2.55

Win to Nil

7%

GIL Vicente

14.23

18%

Moreirense

5.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 13.8 9.1 4.0 1.3 0.4
1 9.8 12.9 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 4.6 6.1 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.936
λ Away (xG) 1.324
Total xG 2.260
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.234
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.744
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.066
Moreirense attack strength 1.007
Moreirense defence strength 0.876
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37