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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

43%

GIL Vicente

2.30

35%

Draw

2.89

22%

Estrela

4.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

18.9%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

1.66

0.64

Estrela xG

43%
35%
22%
GIL VicenteDrawEstrela

2.30

43%

Home win

2.89

35%

Draw

4.56

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

50%

Over 1.5

2.00

50%

Under 1.5

2.00

23%

Over 2.5

4.35

77%

Under 2.5

1.30

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.24

69%

BTTS No

1.45

Clean Sheet

53%

GIL Vicente

1.90

36%

Estrela

2.78

Win to Nil

23%

GIL Vicente

4.37

8%

Estrela

12.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.9 12.1 3.9 0.8 0.1
1 19.4 12.4 4.0 0.8 0.1
2 9.9 6.4 2.0 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 2.2 0.7 0.1
4 0.9 0.6 0.2
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.024
λ Away (xG) 0.640
Total xG 1.664
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.205
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.961
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.801
Estrela attack strength 0.663
Estrela defence strength 0.839
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41