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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Do Dragão

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

63%

FC Porto

1.60

24%

Draw

4.10

13%

Famalicao

7.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.6%

Home win

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

FC Porto xG

Total xG

2.17

0.57

Famalicao xG

63%
24%
13%
FC PortoDrawFamalicao

1.60

63%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

7.72

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.88

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

56%

FC Porto

1.77

20%

Famalicao

4.97

Win to Nil

35%

FC Porto

2.83

3%

Famalicao

38.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 6.5 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 18.2 10.4 3.0 0.6 0.1
2 14.6 8.3 2.4 0.5 0.1
3 7.8 4.5 1.3 0.2
4 3.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.603
λ Away (xG) 0.571
Total xG 2.174
League avg home goals 1.522
League avg away goals 1.149
FC Porto attack strength 1.232
FC Porto defence strength 0.632
Famalicao attack strength 0.787
Famalicao defence strength 0.855
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61