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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Porto Win
80%
1.26
14%
7.07
6%
16.16
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
15.1%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
12.4%
Home win
1 – 0
12.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.46
FC Porto xG
Total xG
2.99
0.54
Estrela xG
FC PortoDrawEstrela
1.26
80%
Home win
7.07
14%
Draw
16.16
6%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
38%
BTTS Yes
2.64
62%
BTTS No
1.61
Clean Sheet
59%
1.71
9%
11.65
Win to Nil
47%
2.15
1%
188.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1 | 12.3 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 2 | 15.1 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 12.4 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.455
λ Away (xG)
0.536
Total xG
2.991
League avg home goals
1.409
League avg away goals
1.090
FC Porto attack strength
1.451
FC Porto defence strength
0.703
Estrela attack strength
0.699
Estrela defence strength
1.201
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
47 / 47