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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Do Dragão

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

54%

FC Porto

1.86

25%

Draw

4.07

22%

Estoril

4.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

FC Porto xG

Total xG

2.98

1.12

Estoril xG

54%
25%
22%
FC PortoDrawEstoril

1.86

54%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

4.59

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

33%

FC Porto

3.07

16%

Estoril

6.41

Win to Nil

17%

FC Porto

5.72

3%

Estoril

29.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.7 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.4 10.6 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.4 6.1 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.5 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.858
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 2.979
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.313
FC Porto attack strength 1.232
FC Porto defence strength 0.697
Estoril attack strength 1.225
Estoril defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45