Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Do Dragão

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

66%

FC Porto

1.51

22%

Draw

4.52

12%

AVS

8.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.9%

Home win

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

FC Porto xG

Total xG

2.36

0.58

AVS xG

66%
22%
12%
FC PortoDrawAVS

1.51

66%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

8.60

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.72

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

56%

FC Porto

1.79

17%

AVS

5.89

Win to Nil

37%

FC Porto

2.70

2%

AVS

50.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 5.5 1.6 0.3
1 16.8 9.8 2.9 0.6 0.1
2 14.9 8.7 2.5 0.5 0.1
3 8.8 5.1 1.5 0.3
4 3.9 2.3 0.7 0.1
5 1.4 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.774
λ Away (xG) 0.583
Total xG 2.357
League avg home goals 1.322
League avg away goals 1.119
FC Porto attack strength 1.278
FC Porto defence strength 0.742
AVS attack strength 0.703
AVS defence strength 1.050
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 25