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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Do Algarve

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

22%

Farense

4.47

24%

Draw

4.19

54%

FC Porto

1.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Farense xG

Total xG

2.93

1.83

FC Porto xG

22%
24%
54%
FarenseDrawFC Porto

4.47

22%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

1.86

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

16%

Farense

6.21

33%

FC Porto

3.02

Win to Nil

4%

Farense

27.78

18%

FC Porto

5.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 9.8 8.9 5.4 2.5 0.9
1 5.9 10.8 9.8 6.0 2.7 1.0
2 3.3 5.9 5.4 3.3 1.5 0.6
3 1.2 2.2 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.104
λ Away (xG) 1.826
Total xG 2.930
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.200
Farense attack strength 0.728
Farense defence strength 1.275
FC Porto attack strength 1.193
FC Porto defence strength 1.092
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55