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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

17:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

43%

Famalicao

2.32

28%

Draw

3.61

29%

Santa Clara

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.34

1.03

Santa Clara xG

43%
28%
29%
FamalicaoDrawSanta Clara

2.32

43%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

36%

Famalicao

2.80

27%

Santa Clara

3.71

Win to Nil

15%

Famalicao

6.50

8%

Santa Clara

12.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 13.0 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.5 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.6 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.312
λ Away (xG) 1.029
Total xG 2.341
League avg home goals 1.368
League avg away goals 1.236
Famalicao attack strength 1.041
Famalicao defence strength 0.885
Santa Clara attack strength 0.941
Santa Clara defence strength 0.921
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34