Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

52%

Famalicao

1.92

24%

Draw

4.16

24%

Rio Ave

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.79

1.08

Rio Ave xG

52%
24%
24%
FamalicaoDrawRio Ave

1.92

52%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

34%

Famalicao

2.94

18%

Rio Ave

5.53

Win to Nil

18%

Famalicao

5.63

4%

Rio Ave

23.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.6 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.5 11.3 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.7 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.1 5.5 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.711
λ Away (xG) 1.077
Total xG 2.788
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.186
Famalicao attack strength 1.081
Famalicao defence strength 0.823
Rio Ave attack strength 1.105
Rio Ave defence strength 1.221
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40