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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 10 Mar 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

44%

Famalicao

2.28

32%

Draw

3.16

25%

Rio Ave

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Famalicao xG

Total xG

1.94

0.79

Rio Ave xG

44%
32%
25%
FamalicaoDrawRio Ave

2.28

44%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.66

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

46%

Famalicao

2.19

32%

Rio Ave

3.16

Win to Nil

20%

Famalicao

5.01

8%

Rio Ave

12.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.4 11.3 4.5 1.2 0.2
1 16.6 13.0 5.1 1.3 0.3
2 9.5 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 3.7 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.151
λ Away (xG) 0.786
Total xG 1.937
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.129
Famalicao attack strength 0.759
Famalicao defence strength 0.829
Rio Ave attack strength 0.840
Rio Ave defence strength 1.132
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58