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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

15:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

60%

Famalicao

1.67

24%

Draw

4.14

16%

Nacional

6.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.46

0.75

Nacional xG

60%
24%
16%
FamalicaoDrawNacional

1.67

60%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

6.29

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.30

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

47%

Famalicao

2.12

18%

Nacional

5.51

Win to Nil

28%

Famalicao

3.54

3%

Nacional

34.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 6.4 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 14.6 11.0 4.1 1.0 0.2
2 12.5 9.4 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 7.1 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 3.0 2.3 0.9 0.2
5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.706
λ Away (xG) 0.751
Total xG 2.457
League avg home goals 1.509
League avg away goals 1.164
Famalicao attack strength 1.088
Famalicao defence strength 0.776
Nacional attack strength 0.832
Nacional defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60