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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

15:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

49%

Famalicao

2.02

32%

Draw

3.12

19%

Guimaraes

5.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.04

0.72

Guimaraes xG

49%
32%
19%
FamalicaoDrawGuimaraes

2.02

49%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

5.40

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

49%

Famalicao

2.05

27%

Guimaraes

3.75

Win to Nil

24%

Famalicao

4.14

5%

Guimaraes

20.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 9.3 3.3 0.8 0.1
1 17.2 12.3 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 11.4 8.2 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 5.0 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.322
λ Away (xG) 0.716
Total xG 2.038
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.214
Famalicao attack strength 0.936
Famalicao defence strength 0.740
Guimaraes attack strength 0.797
Guimaraes defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42