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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio José Gomes

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

21%

Estrela

4.84

21%

Draw

4.79

58%

Sporting CP

1.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

0 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Estrela xG

Total xG

3.24

2.08

Sporting CP xG

21%
21%
58%
EstrelaDrawSporting CP

4.84

21%

Home win

4.79

21%

Draw

1.71

58%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

13%

Estrela

7.99

31%

Sporting CP

3.19

Win to Nil

3%

Estrela

38.63

18%

Sporting CP

5.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 8.2 8.5 5.9 3.0 1.3
1 4.6 9.5 9.8 6.8 3.5 1.5
2 2.6 5.5 5.7 3.9 2.1 0.9
3 1.0 2.1 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.3
4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.160
λ Away (xG) 2.078
Total xG 3.238
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.116
Estrela attack strength 0.917
Estrela defence strength 1.143
Sporting CP attack strength 1.629
Sporting CP defence strength 0.946
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60