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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio José Gomes

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

19%

Estrela

5.17

25%

Draw

3.98

56%

SC Braga

1.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

0 – 2

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Estrela xG

Total xG

2.74

1.78

SC Braga xG

19%
25%
56%
EstrelaDrawSC Braga

5.17

19%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

1.80

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

17%

Estrela

5.91

38%

SC Braga

2.62

Win to Nil

3%

Estrela

30.59

21%

SC Braga

4.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 11.5 10.2 6.0 2.7 1.0
1 6.2 11.1 9.8 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 3.0 5.3 4.7 2.8 1.2 0.4
3 1.0 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.964
λ Away (xG) 1.777
Total xG 2.741
League avg home goals 1.398
League avg away goals 1.202
Estrela attack strength 1.008
Estrela defence strength 1.196
SC Braga attack strength 1.236
SC Braga defence strength 0.684
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51