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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

22%

Estoril

4.45

25%

Draw

4.03

53%

Sporting CP

1.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.91

1.80

Sporting CP xG

22%
25%
53%
EstorilDrawSporting CP

4.45

22%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

1.90

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

17%

Estoril

6.04

33%

Sporting CP

3.03

Win to Nil

4%

Estoril

26.88

17%

Sporting CP

5.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 9.8 8.8 5.3 2.4 0.9
1 6.1 10.9 9.8 5.9 2.6 0.9
2 3.4 6.0 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.5
3 1.2 2.2 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.107
λ Away (xG) 1.798
Total xG 2.905
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.216
Estoril attack strength 1.031
Estoril defence strength 1.016
Sporting CP attack strength 1.455
Sporting CP defence strength 0.820
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40