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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

44%

Estoril

2.25

28%

Draw

3.54

27%

Farense

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.37

1.01

Farense xG

44%
28%
27%
EstorilDrawFarense

2.25

44%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

36%

Estoril

2.74

26%

Farense

3.89

Win to Nil

16%

Estoril

6.18

7%

Farense

14.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 9.5 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.7 12.8 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.7 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.9 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.358
λ Away (xG) 1.008
Total xG 2.366
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 1.117
Estoril attack strength 1.000
Estoril defence strength 1.020
Farense attack strength 0.885
Farense defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58