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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

16%

Estoril

6.14

19%

Draw

5.15

64%

Benfica

1.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

9.7%

Away win

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Estoril xG

Total xG

3.22

2.20

Benfica xG

16%
19%
64%
EstorilDrawBenfica

6.14

16%

Home win

5.15

19%

Draw

1.55

64%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

11%

Estoril

9.04

36%

Benfica

2.76

Win to Nil

2%

Estoril

55.51

23%

Benfica

4.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 8.8 9.7 7.1 3.9 1.7
1 4.1 9.0 9.9 7.2 4.0 1.8
2 2.1 4.5 5.0 3.7 2.0 0.9
3 0.7 1.5 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.3
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.015
λ Away (xG) 2.202
Total xG 3.217
League avg home goals 1.286
League avg away goals 1.211
Estoril attack strength 0.968
Estoril defence strength 1.155
Benfica attack strength 1.574
Benfica defence strength 0.815
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65