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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Casa Pia Win
53%
1.90
26%
3.82
21%
4.71
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
2 – 0
10.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.50
Casa Pia xG
Total xG
2.35
0.85
Rio Ave xG
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
1.90
53%
Home win
3.82
26%
Draw
4.71
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.25
56%
BTTS No
1.80
Clean Sheet
43%
2.33
22%
4.48
Win to Nil
23%
4.44
5%
21.10
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.3 | 12.2 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.500
λ Away (xG)
0.848
Total xG
2.348
League avg home goals
1.334
League avg away goals
1.115
Casa Pia attack strength
1.004
Casa Pia defence strength
0.951
Rio Ave attack strength
0.800
Rio Ave defence strength
1.120
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 60