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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Casa Pia Win
57%
1.74
27%
3.77
16%
6.21
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.5%
Home win
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.58
Casa Pia xG
Total xG
2.30
0.72
Estrela xG
Casa PiaDrawEstrela
1.74
57%
Home win
3.77
27%
Draw
6.21
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.41
58%
BTTS No
1.71
Clean Sheet
49%
2.05
21%
4.87
Win to Nil
28%
3.58
3%
30.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 15.8 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.5 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.584
λ Away (xG)
0.720
Total xG
2.304
League avg home goals
1.405
League avg away goals
1.190
Casa Pia attack strength
1.069
Casa Pia defence strength
0.926
Estrela attack strength
0.654
Estrela defence strength
1.055
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
54 / 54